Analysis of peculiarities of seismic event spatio-temporal distributions in Kamchatka region during 1990 - 2013 based on probabilistic model

  1. Institute of Cosmophysical Researches and Radio Wave Propagation FEB RAS, Russia

   Investigation of the seismic regime of Kamchatka region is based on the
   probabilistic approach to the catalog of seismic events for 1990-2013. In
   the research, the seismically active area along the eastern coast of
   Kamchatka has been divided into segments, for which the probability of
   occurrence of seismic events was calculated. Analysis of the obtained
   probability distributions in time has shown, that since 2007-2008 there
   was an increase in the probability value, which exceed the average
   long-term level, in the southern part of the area under the study. The
   growth of probability, showing the increase of seismic activity, preceded
   seismic events with the energy of class K>14, which occurred in the
   southern area in 2011 - 2013.