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Potential of Non-Linear Dynamics Methods for Analysis of Geophysical Series and Seismicity
- Research Station RAS, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
- Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics FEB RAS, Russia
Recent studies show that earthquakes display the signs of dynamically
complex systems. Recently the set of traditional (linear) research methods
has been greatly expanded by non-linear methods obtained from the theory
of non-linear dynamics and chaos; many researches are aimed at evaluation
of non-linear characteristics and properties of natural and artificial
systems. To evaluate some characteristics it is necessary to restore the
system's phase dynamics, while for other characteristics it is not
necessary. To evaluate the deterministic component of stochastic process
in test examples and in real seismological data it is a good practice to
use the methods of IFS dumpiness test and RP- recurrence plots. The
system's dynamics has also been reconstructed. It has been shown that
during experimental actions of current pulses there appears a
deterministic component in the seismic mode of Northern Tien Shan. The
Gutenberg-Richter law is traditionally used for analysis of seismicity of
any given region. To describe these systems it was proposed to use the
generalization of power-series distribution, the so-called Tsallis
statistics. This generalization includes the limit cases and the
Gutenberg-Richter law, as well as the classic statistics of Boltzmann for
the system of noninteracting elements. In particular, the catalogue-based
distributions are well approximated by the Tsallis distribution function
which may indicate the regularity of the weakest events flow. From the
viewpoint of the Tsallis non-extensive statistics, deviation from the
Gutenberg-Richter law for weak events does not necessarily indicate the
omission of some events by seismic network.